Jasper
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to our crosstalk performance! Today, we're diving into the world of Ethiopian politics and economics. Have you heard about Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's recent address? He's painting a picture of Ethiopia as the next Singapore!
Lily
Singapore? Really? I thought we were more like Ethiopia's version of a rollercoaster. One minute we're climbing to the top, and the next, we're plummeting down.
Jasper
Exactly! And we're not even sure if we're on the right track. Abiy says we're going to grow at 8.4% this year. That's more than the IMF's forecast of 6.5%. But let's be real, the IMF might be the only one with a calculator around here.
Lily
And what about the 300 million quintals of wheat? I heard that figure, and I thought, 'Are we growing wheat, or are we turning the country into a giant bread factory?'
Jasper
Audience, do you think we can actually achieve all these targets? Or are we just setting the bar so high that we can't even see it?
Lily
Well, if we do, we might just need a ladder. But let's move on to the next topic. Abiy talked about tax collection. He wants to collect 1.5 trillion birr by the end of the fiscal year. That's a lot of money, right?
Jasper
Yeah, but you know what they say, 'Money talks, and in this case, it's probably just whispering.' The informal economy is a big hurdle. How do you collect taxes when people are selling everything from bananas to bicycles on the side of the road?
Lily
Exactly! And let's not forget the administrative inefficiencies. If the tax office can't even keep track of their own paperwork, how are they going to keep track of everyone else's?
Jasper
Audience, have you ever tried to file your taxes in Ethiopia? If you have, you probably have a story to tell. Maybe you can share it with us later!
Lily
Moving on to foreign loans and job creation. Abiy reported securing $4.5 billion in foreign credit. That's a lot of zeros, but it's also a lot of pressure. What if we can't pay it back?
Jasper
Well, they say, 'Borrowing money is like borrowing trouble.' But Abiy is optimistic. He plans to create over four million jobs. That's like hiring every person in Addis Ababa and then some!
Lily
And what about these macroeconomic reforms? They sound great on paper, but how do they translate to real life? Are we going to see more jobs, or more paperwork?
Jasper
Audience, what do you think about these job creation plans? Are you ready to join the workforce, or are you going to stick with your side hustle?
Lily
Next, let's talk about subsidies and economic reforms. Abiy outlined a 400 billion birr subsidy plan for essential goods. That's a lot of money to cover fuel, fertilizers, and medicine. But will it be enough?
Jasper
Well, if it's anything like the last subsidy plan, we might end up with more empty shelves than full ones. But at least we'll have a good excuse to go shopping more often!
Lily
And what about the economic reforms? They sound like a good idea, but implementation is always the tricky part. How do you reform an economy without causing chaos?
Jasper
Audience, have you noticed any changes in your daily life because of these economic reforms? Or are things pretty much the same?
Lily
Finally, let's talk about political issues and peace efforts. Abiy emphasized negotiations with rebel groups and peace over conflict. But the conflicts in Amhara and Oromia are still ongoing. How do you bring peace to a country that has so many divisions?
Jasper
Well, they say, 'Peace is not just the absence of war, but the presence of justice.' But in Ethiopia, it seems like we're still working on both. Abiy is trying to bring everyone to the table, but some people are more interested in their own agendas.
Lily
And what about this vision of national transformation? Abiy admires Singapore's development model, but can we really follow that path? Or are we more like a patchwork quilt, with each region having its own unique pattern?
Jasper
Audience, do you think Ethiopia can become the next Singapore? Or do you think we have our own unique path to follow?
Lily
Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Whether you're a believer in Abiy's vision or a skeptic, one thing is clear: Ethiopia is a country on the move. And whether we're climbing or plummeting, it's always an exciting ride.
Jasper
Thanks for the laughs and the thoughtful discussion. We hope you enjoyed our crosstalk performance. Until next time, stay tuned and stay curious!
Jasper
The Comedian
Lily
The Straight Man